Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Polymarket Trader
Honma
0xba0b958b726c1d64829f294bb852fee274847278
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $530.02
- Realized PnL
- $983.43
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $21K
- User PnL
- -$220.9
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $77.05
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $44.04
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $840
- User PnL
- -$22.72
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$35.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $487.3
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.93
- Potential profit
- $414.93
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $384.74
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $50.32
- Potential payout
- $347.04
- Potential profit
- $296.72
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$37.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $193.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $106.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $34.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $252
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.46
- Potential profit
- $284.46
- User PnL
- -$145.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$113.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $167.59
- Potential profit
- $165.58
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.8
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159
- Potential profit
- $159
- User PnL
- -$84.27
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $109.99
- User PnL
- -$52.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.3
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.74
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Ceasefire position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Down position
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes 39% 11.1 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 36 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 52% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 31,170 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 200 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 200 shares