No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $52.56K
- Potential payout
- $72K
- Potential profit
- $19.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
Polymarket Trader
fleeth
0xba0d049aa32383efdcb1b5e6535dcd984c369a6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $179.61K
- Realized PnL
- $16.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $26.5K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $23.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$5.24K
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $22.25K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$326.26
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $6.68K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$825
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.33K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $6.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $825
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.78K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $9.78K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.78K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $10.26K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $742.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $742.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.26K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.76K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.33K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $8.33K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $7.52K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $480
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $106.57
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
No position
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $4.68K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $322.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $86.86
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.26K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $740.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$80.39
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $416.55
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 6.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.27K
No position
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $57.48
No position
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $41.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $90.08
No position
Will Decibel launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- $53.81
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$65.45
No position
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $134.03
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$351
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.88
Heat position
Heat vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.13
Bulls position
Magic vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.34
Lions position
Lions vs. Bears
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
Rockets position
Bulls vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.33
Suns position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.03
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.63
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.2
Hurricanes position
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.95
76ers position
76ers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.6
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370
Falcons position
Rams vs. Falcons
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.83
Rams position
Rams vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.7
Jazz position
Mavericks vs. Jazz
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $306
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 98.9% 394.16 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 88% 1,000 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 12.6% 58 shares
- Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 92% 50 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 23.5% 5 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 10.6% 226.33 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 11.9% 49.9 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 12.1% 2,196.83 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 46.4% 114.43 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 52.1% 172.2 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 68% 65.92 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 52.9% 326.21 shares