Polymarket Trader

basedpnl

0xba140b2b67c9a2f6b642550bb3ff7a840b8ca571

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.53
Realized PnL: $2.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $212.99
Potential profit: $202.45
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$72.52

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $212.99
Potential profit: $207.88
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$11.93

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.56
Potential profit: $195.56
User PnL: -$50.85

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $193
User PnL: -$165.98

Yes position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.57
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$8.71

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.44
Potential profit: $119.44
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.47
Potential profit: $100.47
User PnL: -$50.24

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Kings

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.18
Potential profit: $77.18
User PnL: -$50.17

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$30

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$20.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.28
Potential payout: $52.41
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.1
Potential profit: $51.1
User PnL: -$20.44

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39

Lakers position

Spread: Lakers (-1.5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.39
Potential profit: $40.39
User PnL: -$20.19

Jazz position

Spread: Thunder (-24.5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$20.5

Kings position

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$20.5

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.41
Potential profit: $39.41
User PnL: -$20.1

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.41
Potential profit: $39.41
User PnL: -$20.1

No position

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $38.31
Potential payout: $38.47
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.1

Yes position

Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Anthony Valencia: 3+ shots

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$17.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.38

Yes position

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.5

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week? (October 27 - November 2)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.55

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Heat

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.17

No position

Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.15

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.98

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.94

Western Illinois Leathernecks position

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.83

Trail Blazers position

76ers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.95

Nets position

Bulls vs. Nets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.58

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.92

Grizzlies position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.33

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.69

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 54% 37.04 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 78% 9.5 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 80% 37.5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 37% 30 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 39% 47.61 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 42% 47.62 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

No 37% 30 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 86% 193 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 16% 30 shares
Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots

Yes 45% 30 shares
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots

No 42.7% 30.33 shares
Anthony Valencia: 3+ shots

Yes 59% 30 shares