Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $60.61
- Potential payout
- $484.92
- Potential profit
- $424.3
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$117.96
Polymarket Trader
0xBA1960ee6833CdCa88657f9c56f107A3202702B8-1762804579644
0xba1960ee6833cdca88657f9c56f107a3202702b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.56
- Realized PnL
- $41.13
- Win rate
- 43.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $37.94
- Potential payout
- $143.18
- Potential profit
- $105.24
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.68
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.8
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.29
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.27
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.45
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.44
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.7
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$368.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36.8% 484.92 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 67.3% 547.77 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 94% 392.41 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 33% 143.18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 88% 280.37 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 526.31 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 69% 280.38 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Yes 94% 205.81 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 33.1% 392.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 5.7% 526.32 shares