No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $69.69
- Potential payout
- $73.86
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.69
Polymarket Trader
Grod-an
0xba1b8cd2f9d615de55bc34f96f39a338ec2cd035
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.63
- Realized PnL
- $98.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $27.4
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Karmine Corp Blue position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Los Ratones position
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.59
- Potential profit
- $15.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.4%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $13.74
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.94
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $10.85
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $7.84
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.92
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Prince Andrew released by February 22?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $330?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
T1 position
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
JD Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.82
G2 Esports position
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Los Ratones position
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No 73% 10.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 32.1% 15.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 13.15 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No 15.9% 10.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 76% 13.16 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 12% 10.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 43% 12.82 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 56% 7.14 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.2% 10.96 shares
- US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?No 4% 25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 76% 10.32 shares