No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $30.81
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
0xba1b9A4EB2361e549898f2721E3D2E7dA7ad40BE-1721455803572
0xba1b9a4eb2361e549898f2721e3d2e7da7ad40be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.03
- Realized PnL
- $36.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
pump.fun airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.6% 5.2 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 6.2 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No 99.7% 7 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.4% 6.1 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 96.6% 5.99 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.7% 11 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.6% 6 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 96.8% 6 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.1% 18 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.5% 13 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.4% 9 shares