No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$92.37
Polymarket Trader
ms1213 - 10088
0xba25fb69b473939a0e5c6e5f67d3dcfed9f2aa2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$232.26
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$151.99
Yes position
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$88.6
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.74
- Potential profit
- $207.74
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.68
- Potential profit
- $137.68
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.96
- Potential profit
- $79.96
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.3
- Potential profit
- $59.3
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.96
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.84
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.45
Yes position
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.89
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
Yes position
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $10.66
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Illegal immigrant" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
No position
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 2.4% 791.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.3% 869.57 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 6.5% 250 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 56.9% 75 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 8.9% 123.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown 20% 49.68 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.8% 185.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?No 83.6% 50 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.5% 714.29 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 8.9% 292.13 shares