Polymarket Trader

ebarr24

0xba2bef1edec69977cfb248cc4eb855fafc0327a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.92
Realized PnL: $7.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $46.92
Potential payout: $387.81
Potential profit: $340.88
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $21.37

No position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump meets with Carney before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

No position

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Record low border encounters in April?

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will India invade Pakistan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will TikTok be banned before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Israel military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Yes 6.6% 387.81 shares
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

No 62% 1.61 shares
Record low border encounters in April?

No 61% 1.64 shares
Will TikTok be banned before July?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Trump meets with Carney before June?

No 41% 2.44 shares
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?

No 35% 2.86 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares