Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$71.52
Polymarket Trader
changoto3245436
0xba2d5b84766c2178a4217c7e25def75fa2ac23dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $10.62K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $835.33
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $411.43
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$6.47
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 42% 11.6 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 42% 26.19 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 41% 73.17 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 40% 217.5 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 68% 499.99 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 68% 297.02 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 39% 897.88 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 38% 4,024.72 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 67% 300 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 66% 149.75 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No 13% 38.46 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No 9% 484.7 shares