Polymarket Trader

0xBA3457Ad33022829DC81eCA7A803cECbbC24f1E0-1775252951175

0xba3457ad33022829dc81eca7a803cecbbc24f1e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.11
Realized PnL: $260.41
Win rate: 64.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486
Potential profit: $486
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $418.18
Potential profit: $417.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $382.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $103.35
Potential profit: $95.97
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.65
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.66
Potential profit: $47.66
User PnL: -$8.58

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $24.76
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $22.41
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $18.7
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $24.78
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$27.99

No position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.04
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.74
Potential profit: $20.74
User PnL: -$9.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Odd position

England vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.83

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: $45.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $18.23

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 80.4% 147.05 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 68% 96.53 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 68% 147.06 shares
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 9.7% 103.35 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 20.7% 96.54 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 134.5 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 32.9% 152.12 shares
England vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?

Odd 51% 9.8 shares
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

No 51% 39.22 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 100 shares