Polymarket Trader

Xyu

0xba3ce1a0a3cd1ab1f98981f3ce7350017de22e4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.76K
Realized PnL: $24.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.18K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$15.99

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $134.66
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $18.2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $362.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$137.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $203.86
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $284.12

No position

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $859.36
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $325.96
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $45.19

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $575
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $425
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $397.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $465
Potential profit: $458.26
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $338.1
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $37.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $144.24
Potential profit: $122.24
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $99.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $21.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Magic position

Nets vs. Magic

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.63

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.03

No position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $396.24

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $394.03

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.96

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.04

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.69

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.16

No position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $214.71

No position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $203.73

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $199.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 0.12 shares
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 71% 2.41 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 33.2% 0.11 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 125,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?

Yes 69% 7.72 shares
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.9% 195 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 30,000 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 78% 700 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 86% 1,024 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 78.1% 160 shares
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?

Yes 97.9% 685 shares
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?

Yes 97% 42.39 shares