Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Polymarket Trader
0xbA500B2a931cea9C6A42A1e235BD8849b5a19f97-1765042639458
0xba500b2a931cea9c6a42a1e235bd8849b5a19f97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $29.8K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $66.31
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $53.13
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $571.88
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$46.88
Japan position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371
- Potential profit
- $371
- User PnL
- -$100.17
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $44.88
- Potential payout
- $359
- Potential profit
- $314.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$55.65
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $212.13
- Potential payout
- $224.83
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $182.08
- Potential payout
- $218.06
- Potential profit
- $35.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $82.08
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $183.7
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $33.7
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $83.7
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $119.86
- Potential payout
- $171.23
- Potential profit
- $51.37
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $19.86
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $145.76
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $23.73
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $45.76
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $114.64
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $28.21
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $14.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yan position
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.19
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.55
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.96
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.46
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.8
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.28
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.69
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.86
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan 27% 371 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 27.3% 188.03 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 2,174 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 2,940 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 53.2% 188.03 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No 67% 9,500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 19.5% 2,565.95 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 30% 1,666.67 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 49% 2,040.82 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 30% 3,333.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 19.8% 5,050.25 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 51.6% 3,282.11 shares