Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $85.51
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$14.49
Polymarket Trader
PakaPoo
0xba62ac45cfc4f339b70ba8373c0b3bf2ea1b86a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $350.02
- Realized PnL
- -$115.15
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $719.23
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $214.52
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $415.49
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $113.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.87
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.64
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.31
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.53
Yes position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.28
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.04
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.87
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes 2.3% 4,385.13 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 1% 4,761.9 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 2.1% 4,761.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 769.23 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 7.6% 1,317.22 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 0.2% 1,040.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 11% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 8.1% 304.89 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 7.2% 41 shares
- Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes 60% 100 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 1,200 shares