No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $81.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Polymarket Trader
UTILIZADOR2
0xba6cd969abff48d00ecddff5b302430f6350618b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $590.02
- Realized PnL
- $17.35
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $48.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Avengers: Doomsday position
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $40.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Y
Yes position
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $46.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Y
Yes position
Will Carmen Black advance to the general election for WA-04?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.33
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.88
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.68
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.75
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.25
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $35.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Y
Yes position
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.95
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.75
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.78
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
L1ga Team position
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
ZEDI Esports position
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
AG.AL International position
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Under position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
SaD Esports position
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Y
Yes position
Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Over position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 50 shares
- Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?Yes 11.3% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No 15% 50 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?Yes 88.8% 30 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?Yes 87% 50 shares
- Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87.8% 50 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No 96.2% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?No 14% 50 shares
- Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No 97.4% 50 shares
- Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes 3.6% 50 shares