Polymarket Trader

Oliver798

0xba749b43f0303df44cdfc82ac06dd4cdae9be022

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66K
Realized PnL: $5.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$17.7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $360.56
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $60.56

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $258.07
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$41.92

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $944.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $45

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.5
Potential profit: $506.5
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.1%
Current value: $248.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $151.8
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$53.4

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $280
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $321.33
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$88

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.07
Potential profit: $288.07
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $253.54
Potential payout: $260.45
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $20.96

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $49.36
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $78.85
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Croatia position

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Belgium position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $104.1
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.1

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $49.49
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $52.55
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $96.56
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $778.57

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.04

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.39

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.63

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.7

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.55

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.16

JD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

JD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.56

LGD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.57

JD Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.75

JD Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.75

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.81

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.28

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.66

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.96

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Haiti 61% 81.97 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 50% 100 shares
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 49% 102.04 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 128.21 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 44% 113.64 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

Ghana 61% 81.97 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Over 66% 151.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 2% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Up 44% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

No 99.5% 300 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 69% 579.71 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Belgium 44% 113.64 shares