Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $26.72
- Potential payout
- $213.77
- Potential profit
- $187.05
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.28
Polymarket Trader
ah349
0xba82a9da2386bd8fd5f2b6da4489d149fb1b463a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.41
- Realized PnL
- $154.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $39.85
- Potential payout
- $77.38
- Potential profit
- $37.53
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $19.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.9
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 72% 27.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 25.8% 77.38 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 83.33 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 130.43 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 55% 90.91 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 79.1% 120 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 37.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 120 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 51% 111.11 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 61.4% 51.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 39% 51.28 shares