Polymarket Trader

ytr151

0xba861e1fca0ce9a6c5ee50c81254c2f6937ab2ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.73
Realized PnL: $527.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $31.23
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742
Potential profit: $742
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.33
Potential profit: $383.33
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.25
Potential profit: $285.25
User PnL: -$22.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.43

No position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.06

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.45

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $36.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

RED Canids position

LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.13x
User PnL: $18.44

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $16.08

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

No position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.7% 1,643.53 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.7% 1,786.25 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 1,786.25 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2% 5,000 shares
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 2,137.54 shares
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 1% 399.99 shares
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 2,137.54 shares
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?

Yes 3% 111.5 shares
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 0.7% 571.43 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,636.67 shares