Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.3
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Polymarket Trader
Jackpot1
@jackpot_313
0xba89e5346aaa832e449434f000afb3cbf0add976
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $176.64
- Realized PnL
- $226.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $50.7
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $31.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $23.85
- Potential profit
- $21.11
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$11.75
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $8.94
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Over position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.98
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.31
No position
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
No position
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.95
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
OpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
No token launch by April 30
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes 52% 19.23 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 54% 20 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 16.6% 45.45 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 22% 45.45 shares
- Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 1.4% 10 shares
- Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 1.1% 15 shares
- MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 5% 20 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 63% 23.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 36% 5.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 36% 5.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes 5.1% 9.99 shares
- OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 23% 16.43 shares