Polymarket Trader

PBM23

@pau__14

0xba91d88bc8d80a5529e4d160a95779379d66e999

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $132.37
Realized PnL: $7.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$363.22

Colorado Rockies position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$423

Baltimore Orioles position

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$480

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $908.33
Potential profit: $908.33
User PnL: -$327

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.71
Potential profit: $735.71
User PnL: -$412

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.11
Potential profit: $586.11
User PnL: -$211

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $573.55
Potential profit: $573.55
User PnL: -$252.36

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.25
Potential profit: $563.25
User PnL: -$247.83

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $103
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $97
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $17.48
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.52
Potential profit: $27.52
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.56
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $8.92
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.89

Chicago White Sox position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.33

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.12

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.84

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.73

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.9

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.7

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.09

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.12

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.89

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.36

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.1

Miami Marlins position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.32

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.2

REKONIX position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.74

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.16

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.38

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.19

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.51

Pistons position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.7

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets 45.3% 501.1 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.5% 895.14 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies 56% 735.71 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 75.2% 748.13 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

Chicago White Sox 40% 884.55 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies 36% 908.33 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies 36% 976.75 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins 36% 1,008.94 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 36% 1,008.33 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 1,013.89 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Miami Marlins 43% 971.65 shares