Polymarket Trader

0xba94...8e93

0xba949715951676d49a76181b862224aa19b48e93

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $40.23
Realized PnL: -$2.86
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $23.42
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $19.57
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $15.38
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $6.77
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $6.7
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

Under 97% 1.03 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5

Over 97.3% 2.06 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5

Over 95% 1.05 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 2.25 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 27% 6.7 shares
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 95% 2.11 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 3.13 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 3.03 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5

Under 99.5% 1.01 shares