Y
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $268.26
- Potential payout
- $290.01
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Polymarket Trader
ChanTH
0xbaa125b47d03cbde5e209dad0e33363ee74fd800
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $419.7
- Realized PnL
- $279.99
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $151.44
- Potential payout
- $167.34
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Terry Jackson be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Nicole Williams be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Kenneth Simons be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Dave Sundberg be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Elldwnia English be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Jerry Lightfoot be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Reuben Collins II be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Ellis Colvin be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Tracy Starr be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Alexis Solis be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Arthur Ellis be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Harold Tolbert be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will James Makle Jr. be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Harry Jarin be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Leigha Messick be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Mark Kenneth Arness be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Keith Salkowski be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Walter Kirkland be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Heather Luper be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.85
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.07
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?No 7% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?Yes 86% 265 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 200 shares
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Yes 89% 514.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?No 91% 75.01 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 78% 150 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 78% 57.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 84% 274 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 10% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 84% 56.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 15% 50 shares