No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $12.57
- User PnL
- $183.06
Polymarket Trader
user34234
0xbab9acbcc34146f87fe0ad8cb8ed177f62af3499
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.05K
- Realized PnL
- -$337.14
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- User PnL
- $152.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $487
- Potential profit
- $487
- User PnL
- -$155.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.99
- Potential profit
- $419.99
- User PnL
- -$53.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $197
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $181.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $126.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $73
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $179.18
- Potential payout
- $186.45
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $109.29
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $57.79
- Potential payout
- $58.56
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $32.72
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $22.27
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $9.33
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $39
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$21.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.04
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$27.91
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$36.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$275.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 92% 193 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 92% 19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 92% 200 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 78% 9.38 shares
- Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?Yes 94.9% 340 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 68% 230 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 200 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 92% 774 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 92% 41.13 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 82.4% 500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 90% 194.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 91% 200 shares