Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $64.12
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
Hshsje
0xbac71dfd5743ba8836cf9939b9ade5417ee9edb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.97
- Realized PnL
- $89.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $64.12
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $15.88
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.57
- Potential profit
- $36.57
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.82
- Potential profit
- $19.82
- User PnL
- -$4.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.2
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $24.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?No 99.9% 1.6 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?Up 99.4% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?No 99.9% 6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 99.7% 25 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57.2% 2.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.9% 6 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?Up 56% 2.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 90% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 28?No 99.9% 4 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?Down 99.9% 3.5 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 3.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?No 99.9% 40 shares