Polymarket Trader

Nathanei

0xbac7e65d717b1b2ec55367d0fb3ad873b9103374

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.24
Realized PnL: $91.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $124.23
Potential payout: $146.15
Potential profit: $21.92
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$8.77

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.07
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

No 98.7% 5.07 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 146.15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

No 91.6% 134.34 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 90% 18.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 75% 32.53 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 78% 30.77 shares
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 80% 22.5 shares
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 266.67 shares
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.5% 1,379.39 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 32% 27.63 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes 52% 120.48 shares
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.5% 1,379.4 shares