Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $221.26
- Potential payout
- $225.78
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $168.26
Polymarket Trader
newflies
0xbac86562fed2a4ca976b976cef9b9fd0f1fe2cec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.67
- Realized PnL
- $280.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.28
- Potential profit
- $179.28
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $63.16
- Potential profit
- $56.53
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $47.78
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.94
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 51% 404.41 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 32% 420.91 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 11.4% 489.77 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 37.2% 150 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 8.9% 335.56 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.2% 135.07 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 24.1% 187.08 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.1% 44.2 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 20.7% 38.7 shares
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 19% 63.16 shares