Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $210.07
Polymarket Trader
SpreadPilot
0xbacb138e0e9e1444bae9b401c4615378c57c0381
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $653.87
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $116.19
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $66.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $47.66
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- $41.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $210.07
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $116.19
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $66.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $47.66
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- $41.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $36.79
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.57
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.87
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Milwaukee Brewers position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 46% 2.76 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 59.7% 20.07 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 61% 38.58 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 39% 56.41 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39.7% 200.83 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38.3% 202.49 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 62% 201.41 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 54% 218.52 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 30% 58.33 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 71.2% 53.34 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 47% 221.28 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39% 1.25 shares