Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $24.05K
- Potential payout
- $467.04K
- Potential profit
- $442.99K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $10.8K
Polymarket Trader
ScottyNooo
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $817.6K
- Realized PnL
- $4.6M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $25.64K
- Potential payout
- $361.63K
- Potential profit
- $335.99K
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- $9.54K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $44.86K
- Potential payout
- $315.03K
- Potential profit
- $270.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $224.55K
- Potential payout
- $224.89K
- Potential profit
- $337.33
- User PnL
- $132.46
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.54K
- Potential payout
- $166.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.92K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $118.41K
- Potential payout
- $119.07K
- Potential profit
- $654.86
- User PnL
- $14.37K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $111.11K
- Potential profit
- $109.83K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $388.89
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $362.77
- Potential payout
- $103.65K
- Potential profit
- $103.29K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.15K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $100.36K
- Potential profit
- $97.81K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.68K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $15.98K
- Potential payout
- $98.92K
- Potential profit
- $82.94K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$7.02K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $82.5K
- Potential payout
- $83.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $19.81K
- Potential payout
- $81.37K
- Potential profit
- $61.55K
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$6.67K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $26.43K
- Potential payout
- $79.24K
- Potential profit
- $52.81K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$9K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $72.51K
- Potential profit
- $70.48K
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $62.92K
- Potential profit
- $60.12K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$439.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $54.48K
- Potential profit
- $53.15K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $716.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $47.86K
- Potential payout
- $52.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.27K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $42.49K
- Potential payout
- $52.14K
- Potential profit
- $9.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $912.81
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $854.76
- Potential payout
- $48.84K
- Potential profit
- $47.99K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$37.17
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $42.94K
- Potential profit
- $41.67K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $453.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $42.63K
- Potential profit
- $39.64K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$105.59
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.18K
- Potential payout
- $37.24K
- Potential profit
- $55.85
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $34.58K
- Potential profit
- $29.21K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$259.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $32.41K
- Potential profit
- $30.95K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.57K
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $416.2K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.01K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.98K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $199.81K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $188.48K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.17K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.02K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.28K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.43K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.58K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.65K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.7K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.73K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.67K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.31K
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.87K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.03K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.86K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.29K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 6% 1,606.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 222,222 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 6,680.44 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.4% 30,414.15 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.9% 10,554.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 83.2% 748.8 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 82.2% 30.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69% 212.63 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 81.2% 88.19 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 299.3 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 85% 2,085.28 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 84.9% 3,311 shares