No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.98
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Polymarket Trader
nelsonxyl
0xbad61eb53d1c41e2e0b21d3b1a7148442cf14ca9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.72
- Realized PnL
- $32.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.74
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- User PnL
- -$4.48
No position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.77
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.28
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $3.55
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $3.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "New York" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 3.01 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 81% 3.26 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No 80% 4.16 shares
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No 93% 3.55 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 90.8% 5.51 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 88% 4.32 shares
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No 97.8% 3.47 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 95.2% 4.2 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 3.85 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No 95% 2.33 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.5% 5.84 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 96% 2.08 shares