Polymarket Trader

simplystupid186

0xbad954cc7cbe98489c0d3ed5fdee075fcf782647

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.52
Realized PnL: $164.71
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $4.06K
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$16.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $506.78
Potential profit: $469.28
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $18.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.48
Potential profit: $449.48
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.5
Potential profit: $391.5
User PnL: -$11.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.08
Potential profit: $336.08
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $98.42
Potential payout: $328.05
Potential profit: $229.64
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $27.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $245.53
Potential profit: $245.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $159.49
Potential profit: $159.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.46
Potential profit: $154.46
User PnL: -$6.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.79
Potential profit: $148.79
User PnL: -$29.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $88.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $58.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $9.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?

Yes 3.7% 8.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?

Yes 3.8% 39.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?

No 29% 7.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

No 75% 9.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

No 73% 6.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

No 73% 5.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?

No 16% 9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?

No 31% 14.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?

No 19.9% 114 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 6.1% 22.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?

Yes 0.1% 180.05 shares