Polymarket Trader

kamalawinwin

0xbae0c42d15065b32f896e37391623a5c34c3f34b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.82
Realized PnL: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.76
Potential profit: $321.76
User PnL: -$194.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $204
User PnL: -$18.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$34.62

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.65
Potential profit: $106.65
User PnL: -$51.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$49.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$39.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.38
Potential profit: $61.38
User PnL: -$34.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.23
Potential profit: $50.23
User PnL: -$32.14

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.58
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.48
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 89.8% 216.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 71.3% 272.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 95% 204.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 82.7% 234.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?

Yes 1.9% 23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on May 30?

Yes 1.6% 8.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?

No 68% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 28?

No 70% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 28?

No 79% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?

No 87% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?

No 94.4% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 28?

No 99.9% 12 shares