Polymarket Trader

cosmos751103

0xbae18f55f869ed4d04030fb71be47eccaa053a47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $352.09
Realized PnL: $787.7
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $185.2
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $873.09
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $17.22

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $54.85
Potential payout: $342.82
Potential profit: $287.97
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$24.36

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $226.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $45.71
Potential profit: $42.97
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 33.8%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $21.19
Multiplier: 2.96x
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.29
Potential profit: $16.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.55

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.87

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.9

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.08

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.77

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 14% 50 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 48% 10 shares
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Yes 7% 99.97 shares
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 12% 100 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 26% 14.09 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 25% 5 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 24% 15.73 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 6.1% 16.29 shares