Yes position
Will Trump say "First Lady" or "Movie Star" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.61
- Potential profit
- $260.61
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Polymarket Trader
IslandManic
0xbaeb6060c964cac7b39e7670ff64eb02f8ea5bc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.5
- Realized PnL
- $91.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.82
- Potential profit
- $222.82
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.24
- Potential profit
- $183.24
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.18
- Potential profit
- $137.18
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.18
- Potential profit
- $137.18
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.71
- Potential profit
- $106.71
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Apprentice" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.04
- Potential profit
- $96.04
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $88.46
- Potential profit
- $78.73
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.79
- Potential profit
- $63.79
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.72
- Potential profit
- $57.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.37
- Potential profit
- $53.37
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.57
- Potential profit
- $50.57
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Y
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.79
- Potential profit
- $36.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kennedy" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $28.9
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.32
- Potential profit
- $23.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Biden" 5+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $6.03
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will Vance say "God" 4+ times during Bangor visit?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Women's sports" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 19, 2026?Yes 2.7% 36.79 shares
- Will Trump say "Gay" in June?Yes 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Trump say "Sex" in June?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Antifa" in June?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 54% 9.26 shares
- Will Trump say "Bonjour" during G7 events?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Madame" or "Madam" or "Mademoiselle" during G7 events?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Ballroom" during G7 events?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during G7 events?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Trump say "Normandy" during G7 events?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Blue" during G7 events?Yes 80% 1.25 shares