Polymarket Trader

0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462

0xbaf71a1647d89498713c1084a3f6eefec74eb963

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.54
Realized PnL: $914.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $445.86
Potential profit: $444.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.24
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $313.76
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.88
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $186.01
Potential profit: $185.54
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.53
Potential profit: $138.53
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.63
Potential profit: $132.63
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $92.36
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.87
Potential profit: $81.87
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.54
Potential profit: $78.54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $78.5
Potential profit: $77.52
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $73.04
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.08
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.47
Potential profit: $67.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.97
Potential profit: $64.97
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $60.7
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.5
Potential profit: $48.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.33

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.37

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.31

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.68

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.4

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.33

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.01

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.74

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.07

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.09

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.96

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 16.7% 17.99 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Yes 3% 64.25 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 92% 13.95 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 43% 13.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 99.5% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 17% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?

Yes 32% 18.75 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 47% 6.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 37% 13.51 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5

Over 4.8% 20.83 shares