Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $43.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
RandomStranger123
0xbb130b494e4d5af764300b28901c91fd9e71c79f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.83
- Realized PnL
- $112.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.31
- Potential profit
- $37.31
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $32.41
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $14.8
- Potential payout
- $30.52
- Potential profit
- $15.72
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $28.27
- Potential profit
- $27.09
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.77
- Potential profit
- $26.77
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $20.37
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $9.21
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $7.75
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 40% 2.5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 11.6% 43.1 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 6.25 shares