Polymarket Trader

amaurus

0xbb1a68e22ce75b6f831a626084a2ba5d3d04b22b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $23.17
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will between 340 and 349 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will between 310 and 319 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.61
Potential profit: $567.61
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will CA Mineiro vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Grok 5 released by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$1.82

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 90.9 shares
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?

Yes 1.2% 30 shares
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.7% 18.45 shares
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 52.9 shares
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 71.35 shares
Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Yes 1% 90 shares
Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?

Yes 6% 5 shares
Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?

Yes 36% 50 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.1% 93.77 shares
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-12?

Yes 2.1% 52.63 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

No 1.1% 312.5 shares