Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $13.34
- Potential payout
- $86.08
- Potential profit
- $72.74
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Polymarket Trader
Henne3
0xbb2045e0ce9bbfe05f41681e5a4a76a728a5afd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.15
- Realized PnL
- $59.98
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.33
- Potential profit
- $43.33
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $24.81
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.89
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Quantitative Tightening" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.64
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 66% 37.88 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 37.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 40% 37.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 30% 10 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 98.5% 18.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 54% 18.52 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 0.4% 18.71 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.5% 30.3 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 14% 18.71 shares