Polymarket Trader

Lushaven

0xbb21821c670d314cd8f5c35e190023b2b04bc8e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.31
Realized PnL: $10.34
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.57
Potential profit: $990.57
User PnL: -$525

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$21.96

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $20.31
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.41

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.54

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$64.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 95.5% 21.99 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 990.57 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 89% 22.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 153.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 26% 103.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 73% 100 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

No 93% 118.28 shares
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Knicks 54% 57.41 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?

No 29.8% 108.48 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?

No 89.4% 108.49 shares
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

No 90.9% 107.25 shares
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

No 99.8% 107.26 shares