Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $80.85
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $80.85
Polymarket Trader
yu25252525
0xbb223d5a5e18b837fc57ccdc4d656882fcc6710a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.04K
- Realized PnL
- $95.34
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $110.82
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $740
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $43.51
- Potential payout
- $770
- Potential profit
- $726.5
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $43.51
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $52.6
- Potential payout
- $618.83
- Potential profit
- $566.23
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$34.04
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $58.09
- Potential payout
- $566.77
- Potential profit
- $508.68
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $58.09
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $54.52
- Potential payout
- $524.2
- Potential profit
- $469.68
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- $54.52
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $61.94
- Potential payout
- $471
- Potential profit
- $409.06
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $61.94
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $28.44
- Potential payout
- $437.61
- Potential profit
- $409.17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$23.63
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 21, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $65.74
- Potential payout
- $398.43
- Potential profit
- $332.69
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $65.74
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $44.43
- Potential payout
- $353.99
- Potential profit
- $309.57
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $44.43
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $299.68
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $20.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $299.68
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $240.94
- Potential payout
- $257
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $240.94
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $33.24
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $206.76
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $34.8
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $205.19
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $43.45
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $176.55
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $43.45
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $143.2
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $132.67
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $18.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $111.15
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $101.64
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $19.36
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Ends Dec 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $62
- Potential payout
- $120.38
- Potential profit
- $58.38
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $109.43
- Potential payout
- $110.82
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $109.43
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $93.5
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $63.97
- Potential payout
- $75.71
- Potential profit
- $11.74
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $22.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7.79
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 11% 1,362.81 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 15% 993.82 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4% 1,871.54 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 11% 259.52 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 15% 60 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 15% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 15% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 15% 166.66 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 8.3% 663.31 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 9% 1,011.42 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 9% 1,228.9 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 91% 200 shares