Polymarket Trader

tonshi

0xbb30c94804dd9800035ebcc335b41fd6ec686498

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.87
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$416.24

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $149.87
Potential payout: $243.69
Potential profit: $93.82
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $69.36

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216
Potential profit: $216
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$17.2

Yes position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.44
Potential profit: $10.44
User PnL: -$6.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.64

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.35

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.39

Yes position

Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.28

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

No position

Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.95

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.19

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.22

No position

Another S&P 500 All Time High by April 20?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.97

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.34

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.54

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Yes position

Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.19

No position

Another S&P 500 All Time High by April 21?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 599.99 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 49% 100 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 22.7% 500 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 63.8% 160 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 64.4% 156 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 11% 199.98 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Yes 65% 100 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 63.2% 37.57 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67% 200 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 1.3% 216 shares