No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $428.7
- Potential payout
- $849.92
- Potential profit
- $421.22
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Polymarket Trader
TH12
0xbb319a173b13e7f2e04f60f86f85ae6fc9b60b4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $872.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $202
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $151.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $69.21
- Potential payout
- $288.36
- Potential profit
- $219.16
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$30.79
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$18.9
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.36
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.56
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.33
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$37.78
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.1
- Potential profit
- $49.1
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $13.55
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.14
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.78
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $72.75
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.53
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.43
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $41.53
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.40x
- User PnL
- $12.56
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.03
Yes position
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.5% 500 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 35.7% 100 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.5% 30 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Yes 1% 2,611.07 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 76% 26.32 shares
- Another pandemic before GTA VI?No 50% 400 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 99.3% 300 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 86% 23.26 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 24.1 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 86% 23.26 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No 14% 20 shares