Polymarket Trader

alienget

0xbb3da46b644132d44da2f0b74898c24f01f8371f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $523.15
Realized PnL: $31.63
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $447.59
Potential payout: $483.88
Potential profit: $36.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.59

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.16
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $10.75
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $14.67
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.55

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?

Yes 99.7% 1.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?

Yes 99.9% 7.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Yes 97.5% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3AM ET

Down 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Yes 95% 6.49 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Yes 81% 3.7 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.9% 2.57 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 93% 32.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?

Yes 63.1% 7.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares