No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $147.89
- Potential profit
- $139.76
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$36.16
Polymarket Trader
99R
0xbb51e276e2ce2521afdb720e55afdd845fc41a2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.37
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.32
- Potential profit
- $95.32
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.21
- Potential profit
- $76.21
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $16.79
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $54.64
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $42.03
- Potential payout
- $67.24
- Potential profit
- $25.22
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.1
- Potential profit
- $65.1
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.18
- Potential profit
- $64.18
- User PnL
- -$24.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.11
- Potential profit
- $63.11
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.27
- Potential profit
- $60.27
- User PnL
- -$29.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.83
- Potential profit
- $55.83
- User PnL
- -$29.53
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.36
- Potential profit
- $55.36
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.78
- Potential profit
- $54.78
- User PnL
- -$31.21
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $46.5
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $36.52
- Potential payout
- $45.65
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $15.52
Yes position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $21.21
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.81
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.43
- Potential profit
- $31.43
- User PnL
- -$24.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.18
- Potential profit
- $26.18
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.38
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $39.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.22
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?No 32.3% 46.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 58% 67.24 shares
- Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes 50% 42 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 98.5% 132.23 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 46% 45.65 shares
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No 24% 46.77 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 12% 114.37 shares
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No 35% 46.77 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 35% 71.43 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No 90% 61.4 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15.4% 114.38 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 75% 23.43 shares