Polymarket Trader

hodlous

0xbb75716ba7735d3d4a3110ece78c2b957864f329

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.23
Realized PnL: $618.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.19
Potential profit: $157.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.97
Potential profit: $123.97
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $10.73
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $47.41
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $51.84
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $44.8
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.64
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.86
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021?

Ends Dec 10, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.52

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.3

No position

Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?

Ends Sep 12, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.85

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Apr 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.2

Bayern Munich position

Will Barcelona or Bayern Munich win their Champions League match on September 14?

Ends Sep 14, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Yes position

Columbia May 15 graduation ceremony cancelled?

Ends May 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?

Ends Apr 30, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.61

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?

Ends Jun 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.58

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?

Ends Apr 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1489237.36x
User PnL: $15.44

USA position

2022 Winter Olympics: Will the USA or Canada get more gold medals?

Ends Feb 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League?

Ends Jun 9, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022?

Ends Jun 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

No position

Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

No position

Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?

Ends Feb 22, 2022

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15?

Ends Oct 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Will FC Barcelona win the 2021-22 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 19, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will the price of $BTC be above $39,000 on March 16, 2022?

Ends Mar 16, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

No position

Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 5, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 30.49 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 58.14 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.1% 54.95 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 32% 17.93 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 55% 17.94 shares
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Yes 74% 20 shares
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?

Yes 22% 66.66 shares
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares