plsnolose

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $13.49
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$166.32

Yes position

Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$93.42

Yes position

Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $11.79
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$78.21

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$78.43

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $20.73
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$53.93

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$119.19

Yes position

Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$59.42

Yes position

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$70.13

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $23.32
Potential payout: $992.35
Potential profit: $969.03
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$85.29

Yes position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.61
Potential payout: $943.66
Potential profit: $937.05
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$87.76

Yes position

Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $24.36
Potential payout: $885.83
Potential profit: $861.47
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$108.51

Yes position

Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $73.98
Potential payout: $875.54
Potential profit: $801.56
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$35.46

Yes position

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $852.31
Potential profit: $849.33
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$79.69

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $828.7
Potential profit: $817.51
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$92.4

Yes position

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $13.73
Potential payout: $784.33
Potential profit: $770.6
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$84.32

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $729.38
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$9.38

No position

Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $37.87
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $712.11
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $682.77
Potential profit: $671.5
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$27.74

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $665.6
Potential payout: $672.66
Potential profit: $7.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $620.5

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $183.33
Potential payout: $666.66
Potential profit: $483.33
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $143.33

Yes position

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $642
Potential profit: $637.51
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$59.71

Yes position

Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $51.71
Potential payout: $623.07
Potential profit: $571.36
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$41.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.82

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.11

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.96

Yes position

Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.85

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.22

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.54

No position

Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.25

No position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.57

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.83

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.86

No position

Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.99

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.56

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?