No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Polymarket Trader
0xbb88...eae9
0xbb8840bafe0a17795eddfdfc092c9b8fad9deae9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.23
- Realized PnL
- $8.74
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 49% 9.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 11.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?No 30% 11.2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 24.4% 10.78 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 44% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 68% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 68% 11.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 47% 12 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 75% 6.59 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 88% 4.34 shares