Polymarket Trader

mantlemoose

0xbb92501f83771862c23b02409dde0762a0afb221

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.28K
Realized PnL: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $834
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$1.17K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $834
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$18.75

No position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $622.41
Potential payout: $943.05
Potential profit: $320.64
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $9.43

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $253.44
Potential payout: $512
Potential profit: $258.56
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $25.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $75.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $424.75
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $16.25

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $409.99
Potential profit: $405.68
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$122.24

New York Mets position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.98
Potential profit: $306.98
User PnL: -$124.87

San Diego Padres position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $206.88
Potential payout: $289.35
Potential profit: $82.46
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $82.81

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $273
Potential profit: $272.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$124.57

San Francisco Giants position

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $144.29
Potential payout: $264.75
Potential profit: $120.46
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $24.57

St. Louis Cardinals position

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $48
Potential payout: $239.99
Potential profit: $192
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$76.9

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $111.37
Potential payout: $234.46
Potential profit: $123.09
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$12.68

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.53
Potential profit: $206.53
User PnL: -$134.24

Minnesota Twins position

Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $200.43
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $3.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $75.99

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $69.77
Potential payout: $191.16
Potential profit: $121.38
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$29.39

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $11.1

St. Louis Cardinals position

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $81.2
Potential payout: $143.74
Potential profit: $62.54
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $3.58

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $45.36
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $66.64
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $97.25
Potential payout: $102.69
Potential profit: $5.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.03

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $42.84
Potential payout: $88.33
Potential profit: $45.49
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.44

Detroit Tigers position

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $43.87
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $38.13
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$2.67

Baltimore Orioles position

Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $42.78
Potential payout: $81.48
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.26

San Francisco Giants position

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $44.37
Potential payout: $81.42
Potential profit: $37.04
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $600

100 Thieves position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.05

Under position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.6

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.26

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.92

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.94

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.5

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.41

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Athletics position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

T1 position

LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.7

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.75

Anyones Legend position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.81

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65% 443.05 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65% 300 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.7% 17.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.7% 17.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.7% 38.12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.6% 25 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 999.99 shares
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros 46% 67 shares
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros 49% 2.86 shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles 74.4% 284.3 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins

San Francisco Giants 43% 26 shares