Polymarket Trader

User14657

0xbb964ef5e8e922547b37a035ffe4730dc45c6006

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.21K
Realized PnL: $3.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $65.03

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $7.26K
Potential payout: $7.76K
Potential profit: $504.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.26K

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $759.6
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $40.4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $510.25
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $139.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$10.75

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $457.46
Potential payout: $522.81
Potential profit: $65.35
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35.12

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401
Potential profit: $401
User PnL: -$77.77

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$189

No position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $129.1
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $22.99

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.38
Potential profit: $124.38
User PnL: -$38.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.97

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.63

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.22

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.82

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.28

No position

Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.57

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.4

No position

Will no one dissent September Fed decision?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.01

No position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.49

No position

Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5

No position

Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

French confidence vote fails?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Chris Christie charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.24

Putin position

Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.5

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.25

No position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.83

No position

Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.17

No position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58

No position

Fed governor resigns by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 30% 90.33 shares
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 81% 131 shares
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

No 93% 553.75 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

No 81% 1,003.31 shares
Chris Christie charged in 2025?

No 92% 803 shares
Starmer out in 2025?

No 88% 220 shares
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

No 92% 410.91 shares
Xi Jinping out before October?

No 96.9% 790 shares
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?

No 68% 93 shares
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?

Yes 7.3% 15.33 shares
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?

No 89% 419.32 shares
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

No 86% 102.57 shares