Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Polymarket Trader
0xbb96...d3fc
0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $781.44
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $416.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $404.53
- Potential profit
- $393.81
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$43.99
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $360.19
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $298.51
- Potential profit
- $286.42
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $257.53
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $239.88
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $226.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $238.63
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$18.63
Yes position
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $94.8
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $145.2
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $33.34
- Potential payout
- $193.36
- Potential profit
- $160.03
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $5.34
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $27.98
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $147.46
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $76.41
- Potential payout
- $171.7
- Potential profit
- $95.29
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$23.59
Yes position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $166.75
- Potential profit
- $157.66
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $91.91
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $55.15
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$8.09
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.8%
- Current value
- $56.57
- Potential payout
- $145.99
- Potential profit
- $89.42
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $36.57
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $135.12
- Potential payout
- $135.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $127.07
- Potential profit
- $126.88
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $111.51
- Potential profit
- $102.03
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $102.79
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $87.41
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $59.55
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $31.36
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.55
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $26.57
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $59.14
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $23.73
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.6
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.02
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.4
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.61
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.13
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.59
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.24
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 81.4% 135.12 shares
- World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Yes 6% 166.75 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes 16.5% 30.3 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 22.5% 44.44 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes 16.7% 59.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 79% 70.25 shares
- Norway to score first vs. England?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 43% 69.77 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 35% 57.14 shares