Polymarket Trader

0xbb99...4b17

0xbb999f4e591139deef1d8133a9008c17f2e24b17

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $63.47
Realized PnL: $18.35
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $13.21
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $6.24
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $12.59
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $7.62
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $3.56
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $3.25
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.69

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.28

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.1

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 65% 7.62 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Yes 75% 6.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 33% 13 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?

Yes 71% 12.59 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Yes 28% 10.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 67% 14.97 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?

Yes 79% 6.38 shares
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 53% 9.17 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.9% 13.01 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 12.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 58% 17.29 shares