Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $307.12K
- Potential profit
- $304.81K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$767.79
Polymarket Trader
carlosbeltran.eth
0xbb9c7cc0c79662e0c070c15b7a9ac95d5a287c0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.47K
- Realized PnL
- $327.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $12.26K
- Potential profit
- $11.1K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$870.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$899.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$79.69
Poirier position
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$999.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$499.86
Pantoja position
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$749
Yes position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.92
- Potential profit
- $416.92
- User PnL
- -$99.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yan position
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.74
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$203.62
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$333.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 1,451.7 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 6.4% 2,453.55 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 20% 2,453.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 307,117 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 5,255.06 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 5,554.18 shares
- Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes 24% 416.92 shares
- Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Yes 3.3% 2,444.41 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes 0.2% 3,745.83 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes 5.7% 3,745.83 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 9% 4,999.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 9% 4,998 shares